LA City v10 — merged clusters

Click a cluster on the map or a card. All percentages are aggregated over a cluster's tracts (vote totals summed; pct contests CVAP-weighted), never averaged across merged components. Unclustered (noise) tracts are hatched in their nearest cluster's color.
Multiracial NIMBY Conservatism
234 tracts · 603,341 CVAP · 24.5% of city
Demographics (race: pop% · CVAP%)
Latino40% · 34%NH-white36% · 42%
Black5% · 6%Asian14% · 14%
% renter44%% BA+37%
Median inc$102,379'24 turnout59%
Overperforms (z vs city)
Presidential Pref Rep Republican 2020 03 Primary Donald J Trump+1.5z21 vs 10
U S Senator Full Term Voter Nominated 2024 03 Primary Steve Garvey+1.4z30 vs 18
Pres And Vice Pres Non Partisan 2024 11 General Donald J Trump+1.3z38 vs 26
DA (2024 Pri): Hochman+1.3z28 vs 18
Mayor (2022): Caruso+1.2z51 vs 36
Underperforms
County Meas R Yes (2020)-1.5z69 vs 81
Prop 13 Yes (2020)-1.4z46 vs 65
Prop 18 Yes (2020)-1.4z47 vs 60
Anchor elections (clust% · city%)
2020 Presidential primary
Sanders32.6%40.9%
Warren9.0%12.8%
Biden23.7%23.3%
2020 General
Biden66.0%77.1%
Trump32.3%21.2%
2022 Mayor (primary)
Bass34.4%43.3%
Caruso50.6%36.8%
de León7.9%10.3%
Viola4.2%7.5%
2022 Mayor (general)
Bass43.2%55.4%
Caruso56.8%44.6%
Down-ballot
Mejia (controller '22 gen)60.4%63.9%
Lee (Senate '24 prim)7.7%19.4%
Schiff (Senate '24 prim)39.7%40.2%
2024 General
Harris59.2%70.3%
Trump38.0%26.6%
Propositions
Prop 21 rent-ctrl (yes)46.7%57.7%
Prop 22 gig (yes)57.8%51.0%
Prop 36 crime (yes)68.7%58.5%
Westside Liberals
189 tracts · 452,755 CVAP · 18.4% of city
Demographics (race: pop% · CVAP%)
Latino19% · 16%NH-white54% · 59%
Black6% · 7%Asian13% · 12%
% renter65%% BA+65%
Median inc$115,416'24 turnout65%
Overperforms (z vs city)
Los Angeles City Attorney 2022 06 Primary H Feldstein Soto+1.4z30 vs 19
Prop 3 Yes (2024)+1.2z83 vs 71
Presidential Pref Dem Democratic 2020 03 Primary Elizabeth Warren+1.2z20 vs 12
U S Senator Full Term Voter Nominated 2024 03 Primary Adam B Schiff+1.0z47 vs 39
Mayor (2022): Bass+0.9z54 vs 42
Underperforms
Los Angeles City Attorney 2022 06 Primary Marina Torres-1.0z16 vs 25
Mayor (2022): Leon-0.9z3 vs 11
Presidential Pref Dem Democratic 2020 03 Primary Bernie Sanders-0.8z31 vs 43
Anchor elections (clust% · city%)
2020 Presidential primary
Sanders30.5%40.9%
Warren20.2%12.8%
Biden27.4%23.3%
2020 General
Biden80.5%77.1%
Trump18.0%21.2%
2022 Mayor (primary)
Bass53.8%43.3%
Caruso34.0%36.8%
de León3.5%10.3%
Viola7.2%7.5%
2022 Mayor (general)
Bass59.3%55.4%
Caruso40.7%44.6%
Down-ballot
Mejia (controller '22 gen)62.8%63.9%
Lee (Senate '24 prim)14.9%19.4%
Schiff (Senate '24 prim)47.3%40.2%
2024 General
Harris76.8%70.3%
Trump20.5%26.6%
Propositions
Prop 21 rent-ctrl (yes)60.1%57.7%
Prop 22 gig (yes)45.9%51.0%
Prop 36 crime (yes)52.9%58.5%
(Formerly) Black LA
150 tracts · 310,361 CVAP · 12.6% of city
Demographics (race: pop% · CVAP%)
Latino61% · 46%NH-white5% · 7%
Black30% · 39%Asian3% · 3%
% renter67%% BA+19%
Median inc$62,422'24 turnout50%
Overperforms (z vs city)
Prop 1 Yes (2024)+1.4z71 vs 60
Prop 14 Yes (2020)+1.3z67 vs 57
Prop 35 Yes (2024)+1.3z80 vs 70
Mayor (2022): Bass+1.2z58 vs 42
Presidential Pref Dem Democratic 2020 03 Primary Joseph R Biden+1.2z32 vs 23
Underperforms
U S Senator Full Term Voter Nominated 2024 03 Primary Steve Garvey-1.1z8 vs 18
Mayor (2022): Caruso-1.0z23 vs 36
Controller (2022): Mejia-0.9z34 vs 45
Anchor elections (clust% · city%)
2020 Presidential primary
Sanders44.1%40.9%
Warren8.0%12.8%
Biden33.2%23.3%
2020 General
Biden87.8%77.1%
Trump10.5%21.2%
2022 Mayor (primary)
Bass60.0%43.3%
Caruso22.4%36.8%
de León11.2%10.3%
Viola4.6%7.5%
2022 Mayor (general)
Bass70.0%55.4%
Caruso30.0%44.6%
Down-ballot
Mejia (controller '22 gen)58.1%63.9%
Lee (Senate '24 prim)32.5%19.4%
Schiff (Senate '24 prim)43.5%40.2%
2024 General
Harris79.3%70.3%
Trump17.7%26.6%
Propositions
Prop 21 rent-ctrl (yes)60.5%57.7%
Prop 22 gig (yes)53.7%51.0%
Prop 36 crime (yes)52.5%58.5%
Peripheral Populist Moderates
137 tracts · 269,466 CVAP · 10.9% of city
Demographics (race: pop% · CVAP%)
Latino73% · 65%NH-white12% · 18%
Black4% · 5%Asian8% · 9%
% renter65%% BA+18%
Median inc$68,579'24 turnout47%
Overperforms (z vs city)
U S Senator Full Term Voter Nominated 2024 03 Primary Katie Porter+1.4z26 vs 19
Los Angeles City Attorney 2022 06 Primary Marina Torres+1.1z36 vs 25
Prop 36 Yes (2024)+0.8z66 vs 58
Presidential Pref Dem Democratic 2020 03 Primary Bernie Sanders+0.7z53 vs 43
Mayor (2022): Leon+0.7z17 vs 11
Underperforms
Mayor (2022): Bass-0.9z30 vs 42
Prop 3 Yes (2024)-0.7z64 vs 71
Presidential Pref Dem Democratic 2020 03 Primary Elizabeth Warren-0.7z8 vs 12
Anchor elections (clust% · city%)
2020 Presidential primary
Sanders52.2%40.9%
Warren7.8%12.8%
Biden18.4%23.3%
2020 General
Biden76.0%77.1%
Trump22.2%21.2%
2022 Mayor (primary)
Bass31.2%43.3%
Caruso42.7%36.8%
de León16.6%10.3%
Viola6.4%7.5%
2022 Mayor (general)
Bass48.3%55.4%
Caruso51.7%44.6%
Down-ballot
Mejia (controller '22 gen)65.1%63.9%
Lee (Senate '24 prim)13.5%19.4%
Schiff (Senate '24 prim)35.4%40.2%
2024 General
Harris64.9%70.3%
Trump32.2%26.6%
Propositions
Prop 21 rent-ctrl (yes)58.6%57.7%
Prop 22 gig (yes)54.7%51.0%
Prop 36 crime (yes)65.8%58.5%
Multiracial Urban Professionals
64 tracts · 141,072 CVAP · 5.7% of city
Demographics (race: pop% · CVAP%)
Latino29% · 25%NH-white32% · 38%
Black10% · 14%Asian18% · 17%
% renter92%% BA+54%
Median inc$71,017'24 turnout47%
Overperforms (z vs city)
Los Angeles City Attorney 2022 06 Primary Faisal M Gill+1.3z41 vs 28
City Meas II Yes (2024)+1.3z83 vs 73
Prop 6 Yes (2024)+1.2z73 vs 62
Prop 21 Yes (2020)+1.2z71 vs 59
Prop 3 Yes (2024)+1.2z83 vs 71
Underperforms
Prop 36 Yes (2024)-1.2z47 vs 58
DA (2020 Pri): Lacey-1.2z34 vs 43
DA (2024 Gen): Hochman-1.1z41 vs 52
Anchor elections (clust% · city%)
2020 Presidential primary
Sanders47.7%40.9%
Warren20.2%12.8%
Biden17.1%23.3%
2020 General
Biden83.0%77.1%
Trump15.0%21.2%
2022 Mayor (primary)
Bass51.1%43.3%
Caruso25.9%36.8%
de León7.7%10.3%
Viola13.6%7.5%
2022 Mayor (general)
Bass67.5%55.4%
Caruso32.5%44.6%
Down-ballot
Mejia (controller '22 gen)71.9%63.9%
Lee (Senate '24 prim)30.4%19.4%
Schiff (Senate '24 prim)34.7%40.2%
2024 General
Harris78.9%70.3%
Trump17.3%26.6%
Propositions
Prop 21 rent-ctrl (yes)70.9%57.7%
Prop 22 gig (yes)44.2%51.0%
Prop 36 crime (yes)46.7%58.5%
Multiracial Progressive Tenants
72 tracts · 137,978 CVAP · 5.6% of city
Demographics (race: pop% · CVAP%)
Latino48% · 36%NH-white11% · 16%
Black7% · 12%Asian32% · 32%
% renter93%% BA+37%
Median inc$57,204'24 turnout42%
Overperforms (z vs city)
U S Senator Full Term Voter Nominated 2024 03 Primary Barbara Lee+1.4z37 vs 21
Mayor (2022): Viola+1.2z14 vs 8
Prop 33 Yes (2024)+1.2z65 vs 52
Prop 23 Yes (2020)+1.2z57 vs 47
Los Angeles City Gen Cntr 2022 11 General Kenneth Mejia+1.1z73 vs 64
Underperforms
U S Senator Full Term Voter Nominated 2024 03 Primary Adam B Schiff-1.4z29 vs 39
City Atty (2022): Soto-1.2z42 vs 53
Presidential Pref Dem Democratic 2020 03 Primary Joseph R Biden-1.2z13 vs 23
Anchor elections (clust% · city%)
2020 Presidential primary
Sanders55.1%40.9%
Warren12.9%12.8%
Biden13.5%23.3%
2020 General
Biden77.6%77.1%
Trump20.3%21.2%
2022 Mayor (primary)
Bass37.3%43.3%
Caruso32.0%36.8%
de León15.0%10.3%
Viola13.5%7.5%
2022 Mayor (general)
Bass57.5%55.4%
Caruso42.5%44.6%
Down-ballot
Mejia (controller '22 gen)72.7%63.9%
Lee (Senate '24 prim)36.6%19.4%
Schiff (Senate '24 prim)28.9%40.2%
2024 General
Harris71.2%70.3%
Trump24.3%26.6%
Propositions
Prop 21 rent-ctrl (yes)69.4%57.7%
Prop 22 gig (yes)48.3%51.0%
Prop 36 crime (yes)55.3%58.5%
Gentrified NELA
54 tracts · 137,040 CVAP · 5.6% of city
Demographics (race: pop% · CVAP%)
Latino48% · 43%NH-white26% · 29%
Black3% · 3%Asian19% · 20%
% renter49%% BA+43%
Median inc$102,643'24 turnout60%
Overperforms (z vs city)
Controller (2022): Mejia+1.4z62 vs 45
Los Angeles City Gen Cntr 2022 11 General Kenneth Mejia+1.4z75 vs 64
DA (2024 Pri): Gascon+1.1z57 vs 43
Mayor (2022): Viola+0.9z12 vs 8
DA (2020 Gen): Gascon+0.9z67 vs 59
Underperforms
Prop 22 Yes (2020)-1.2z42 vs 51
DA (2020 Pri): Lacey-1.0z36 vs 43
Mayor (2022): Caruso-0.9z26 vs 36
Anchor elections (clust% · city%)
2020 Presidential primary
Sanders49.8%40.9%
Warren16.6%12.8%
Biden18.4%23.3%
2020 General
Biden82.5%77.1%
Trump16.0%21.2%
2022 Mayor (primary)
Bass45.4%43.3%
Caruso25.6%36.8%
de León15.0%10.3%
Viola12.7%7.5%
2022 Mayor (general)
Bass65.1%55.4%
Caruso34.9%44.6%
Down-ballot
Mejia (controller '22 gen)74.3%63.9%
Lee (Senate '24 prim)24.1%19.4%
Schiff (Senate '24 prim)40.7%40.2%
2024 General
Harris76.3%70.3%
Trump19.8%26.6%
Propositions
Prop 21 rent-ctrl (yes)62.2%57.7%
Prop 22 gig (yes)42.1%51.0%
Prop 36 crime (yes)50.4%58.5%
Si Se Puede
91 tracts · 135,225 CVAP · 5.5% of city
Demographics (race: pop% · CVAP%)
Latino85% · 77%NH-white2% · 5%
Black6% · 9%Asian5% · 7%
% renter83%% BA+11%
Median inc$53,682'24 turnout45%
Overperforms (z vs city)
Mayor (2022): Leon+2.1z30 vs 11
Presidential Pref Dem Democratic 2020 03 Primary Bernie Sanders+1.4z62 vs 43
Los Angeles City Attorney 2022 06 Primary Marina Torres+1.2z37 vs 25
Prop 35 Yes (2024)+1.1z79 vs 70
U S Senator Full Term Voter Nominated 2024 03 Primary Barbara Lee+1.1z34 vs 21
Underperforms
Mayor (2022): Bass-1.1z28 vs 42
U S Senator Full Term Voter Nominated 2024 03 Primary Adam B Schiff-1.0z31 vs 39
Presidential Pref Dem Democratic 2020 03 Primary Elizabeth Warren-1.0z6 vs 12
Anchor elections (clust% · city%)
2020 Presidential primary
Sanders63.1%40.9%
Warren5.6%12.8%
Biden15.7%23.3%
2020 General
Biden83.2%77.1%
Trump15.1%21.2%
2022 Mayor (primary)
Bass28.4%43.3%
Caruso31.6%36.8%
de León30.0%10.3%
Viola7.6%7.5%
2022 Mayor (general)
Bass53.1%55.4%
Caruso46.9%44.6%
Down-ballot
Mejia (controller '22 gen)67.3%63.9%
Lee (Senate '24 prim)34.3%19.4%
Schiff (Senate '24 prim)31.6%40.2%
2024 General
Harris70.6%70.3%
Trump25.8%26.6%
Propositions
Prop 21 rent-ctrl (yes)62.8%57.7%
Prop 22 gig (yes)52.4%51.0%
Prop 36 crime (yes)62.8%58.5%
Commie Corridor
53 tracts · 119,928 CVAP · 4.9% of city
Demographics (race: pop% · CVAP%)
Latino38% · 31%NH-white40% · 46%
Black3% · 5%Asian13% · 12%
% renter79%% BA+50%
Median inc$87,778'24 turnout57%
Overperforms (z vs city)
Mayor (2022): Viola+2.5z20 vs 8
Los Angeles City Attorney 2022 06 Primary Faisal M Gill+2.1z49 vs 28
Controller (2022): Mejia+2.0z68 vs 45
DA (2024 Pri): Gascon+1.9z67 vs 43
DA (2020 Gen): Gascon+1.7z73 vs 59
Underperforms
Prop 22 Yes (2020)-2.1z36 vs 51
DA (2020 Pri): Lacey-1.9z29 vs 43
Prop 36 Yes (2024)-1.8z41 vs 58
Anchor elections (clust% · city%)
2020 Presidential primary
Sanders52.7%40.9%
Warren22.9%12.8%
Biden13.3%23.3%
2020 General
Biden83.8%77.1%
Trump14.6%21.2%
2022 Mayor (primary)
Bass49.7%43.3%
Caruso20.3%36.8%
de León9.3%10.3%
Viola19.3%7.5%
2022 Mayor (general)
Bass72.5%55.4%
Caruso27.5%44.6%
Down-ballot
Mejia (controller '22 gen)76.1%63.9%
Lee (Senate '24 prim)33.5%19.4%
Schiff (Senate '24 prim)37.1%40.2%
2024 General
Harris79.3%70.3%
Trump16.0%26.6%
Propositions
Prop 21 rent-ctrl (yes)73.3%57.7%
Prop 22 gig (yes)35.8%51.0%
Prop 36 crime (yes)40.8%58.5%
The Haute Moderates
45 tracts · 109,089 CVAP · 4.4% of city
Demographics (race: pop% · CVAP%)
Latino8% · 7%NH-white73% · 77%
Black2% · 3%Asian8% · 8%
% renter31%% BA+72%
Median inc$169,700'24 turnout78%
Overperforms (z vs city)
Presidential Pref Dem Democratic 2020 03 Primary M R Bloomberg+2.6z17 vs 9
City Atty (2022): Soto+2.4z75 vs 53
DA (2024 Gen): Hochman+2.1z74 vs 52
Los Angeles City Attorney 2022 06 Primary H Feldstein Soto+1.9z34 vs 19
DA (2024 Pri): Hochman+1.9z33 vs 18
Underperforms
Prop 33 Yes (2024)-2.4z26 vs 52
Los Angeles City Gen Cntr 2022 11 General Kenneth Mejia-2.1z48 vs 64
County Meas G Yes (2024)-2.0z44 vs 59
Anchor elections (clust% · city%)
2020 Presidential primary
Sanders15.8%40.9%
Warren11.9%12.8%
Biden34.7%23.3%
2020 General
Biden66.8%77.1%
Trump31.8%21.2%
2022 Mayor (primary)
Bass38.3%43.3%
Caruso55.5%36.8%
de León2.1%10.3%
Viola2.4%7.5%
2022 Mayor (general)
Bass37.5%55.4%
Caruso62.5%44.6%
Down-ballot
Mejia (controller '22 gen)48.1%63.9%
Lee (Senate '24 prim)4.7%19.4%
Schiff (Senate '24 prim)50.6%40.2%
2024 General
Harris60.5%70.3%
Trump37.6%26.6%
Propositions
Prop 21 rent-ctrl (yes)39.1%57.7%
Prop 22 gig (yes)56.8%51.0%
Prop 36 crime (yes)69.0%58.5%
Unclustered
18 tracts · 45,362 CVAP · 1.8% of city
Demographics (race: pop% · CVAP%)
Latino36% · 30%NH-white38% · 44%
Black4% · 5%Asian15% · 17%
% renter53%% BA+48%
Median inc$122,784'24 turnout67%
Hatched by nearest cluster
Multiracial NIMBY Conservatism9
Multiracial Progressive Tenants4
Gentrified NELA3
Westside Liberals1
Commie Corridor1
Overperforms (z vs city)
Controller (2022): Mejia+0.7z53 vs 45
Los Angeles City Gen Cntr 2022 11 General Kenneth Mejia+0.6z69 vs 64
Prop 3 Yes (2024)+0.6z77 vs 71
Los Angeles City Attorney 2022 06 Primary H Feldstein Soto+0.4z22 vs 19
City Meas II Yes (2024)+0.4z76 vs 73
Underperforms
Prop 1 Yes (2024)-0.6z55 vs 60
Prop 14 Yes (2020)-0.5z53 vs 57
Prop 35 Yes (2024)-0.5z66 vs 70
Anchor elections (clust% · city%)
2020 Presidential primary
Sanders36.6%40.9%
Warren14.8%12.8%
Biden24.1%23.3%
2020 General
Biden77.2%77.1%
Trump21.0%21.2%
2022 Mayor (primary)
Bass43.1%43.3%
Caruso38.8%36.8%
de León9.0%10.3%
Viola7.6%7.5%
2022 Mayor (general)
Bass53.2%55.4%
Caruso46.8%44.6%
Down-ballot
Mejia (controller '22 gen)67.4%63.9%
Lee (Senate '24 prim)17.2%19.4%
Schiff (Senate '24 prim)41.6%40.2%
2024 General
Harris73.6%70.3%
Trump23.3%26.6%
Propositions
Prop 21 rent-ctrl (yes)53.4%57.7%
Prop 22 gig (yes)49.9%51.0%
Prop 36 crime (yes)58.6%58.5%